Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000146 0.000161 0.000177 0.000196
2026-01-04 0.000090 0.000106 0.000125 0.000148 0.000177 0.000210 0.000252
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000094 0.000117 0.000146 0.000185 0.000233 0.000298
2026-01-18 0.000066 0.000086 0.000112 0.000147 0.000195 0.000258 0.000348
2026-01-25 0.000059 0.000079 0.000106 0.000145 0.000200 0.000276 0.000390
2026-02-01 0.000053 0.000074 0.000102 0.000145 0.000207 0.000296 0.000437
2026-02-08 0.000048 0.000069 0.000098 0.000142 0.000210 0.000311 0.000477
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000064 0.000093 0.000139 0.000212 0.000324 0.000514
2026-02-22 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000140 0.000220 0.000347 0.000570
2026-03-01 0.000039 0.000059 0.000090 0.000143 0.000230 0.000374 0.000636
2026-03-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000139 0.000230 0.000384 0.000673
2026-03-15 0.000032 0.000051 0.000082 0.000135 0.000227 0.000389 0.000702
2026-03-22 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000136 0.000235 0.000414 0.000772
2026-03-29 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000137 0.000244 0.000441 0.000851
2026-04-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000135 0.000246 0.000457 0.000910
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000044 0.000075 0.000136 0.000253 0.000483 0.000993
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000041 0.000073 0.000133 0.000255 0.000499 0.001056
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000133 0.000261 0.000522 0.001138
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000131 0.000261 0.000536 0.001201
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000128 0.000261 0.000546 0.001257
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000129 0.000269 0.000577 0.001366
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000131 0.000279 0.000614 0.001498
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000128 0.000277 0.000622 0.001556